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Head-to-Head

Denis Shapovalov vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Denis Shapovalov

🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov

#42 · 27 yrs · L

5–2

7 meetings · sets 11–7

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#10 · 28 yrs · R

Denis Shapovalov and Frances Tiafoe have met 7 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–2. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 11 sets to Tiafoe's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at French Open - Paris (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorShapovalovTiafoe
Wins in straight sets45%61%
Wins a set when losing35%36%
Goes to a deciding set46%38%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite35%54%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog69%68%
Tiebreak sets won62%50%
Wins after taking set 182%96%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 145%71%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Tiafoe 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shapovalov

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Denis Shapovalov and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

May 30, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 2nd Round

647
64
62
64
Shapovalov

Aug 11, 2021

Rogers Cup - Toronto

H Hard · 2nd Round

16
46
Tiafoe

Jun 19, 2021

cinch Championships - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

63
64
Shapovalov

Oct 7, 2019

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai

H Hard · Round of 64

64
62
Shapovalov

Mar 22, 2019

ATP Masters 1000 Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

6577
64
62
Shapovalov

Aug 5, 2018

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati

H Hard · Round of 64

7866
36
75
Shapovalov

Feb 21, 2018

Delray Beach

H Hard · Semifinals

57
46
Tiafoe

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeShapovalovTiafoe
1 or more100%100%
3 or more82%89%
5 or more71%56%
10 or more41%17%
15 or more6%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricShapovalovTiafoe
W-L12–513–5
Avg odds2.152.04
ROI %+12.3%+23.4%
Units P/L+2.09u+4.21u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricShapovalovTiafoe
Countries22
Events22
Matches74
Distance2,080 mi · 3,347 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteCHN → JPNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 30%).

OpponentShapovalovTiafoe
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
W
57
64
63
L
67
64
67
Sho Shimabukuro
W
75
61
W
64
75
Hubert Hurkacz
L
76
36
36
W
67
76
64
67
64
Ben Shelton
L
67
76
36
46
L
64
36
36
57
Marin Cilic
L
76
46
57
W
57
62
62
Zachary Svajda
L
W
64
36
75
Rinky Hijikata
W
26
63
62
W
64
64
Alex de Minaur
L
46
16
L
36
46
57
Jaime Faria
L
46
57
46
W
46
67
76
61
62
Jannik Sinner
L
36
26
L
26
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shapovalov
LWWLWWWL
L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

75
36
64

Oct 3

W

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

75
61

Oct 1

L

Hubert Hurkacz

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals

768
36
36

Sep 28

W

Adrian Mannarino

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals

667
63
62

Sep 27

W

Vit Kopriva

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round

62
63

Sep 25

W

Tallon Griekspoor

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

64
763

Sep 24

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

637
765
36
46

Sep 5

Tiafoe
LWLWLWWW
L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

647
64
667

Oct 11

W

Yannick Hanfmann

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
64

Oct 9

L

Arthur Fils

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

36
57

Oct 2

W

Kei Nishikori

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

64
64

Oct 1

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

64
36
36
57

Sep 11

W

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

57
36
75
63
766

Sep 8

W

Daniil Medvedev

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

761
64
76

Sep 6

W

Valentin Vacherot

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
62
64

Sep 5

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ShapovalovShapovalov ahead↓ Tiafoe

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–63 matches

MetricShapovalovTiafoe
Matches won56%71%
Sets won52%63%
Games won51%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageShapovalovTiafoe
Grand Slam10
ATP 50010
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100031

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceShapovalovTiafoe
Hard32
Clay10
Grass10

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Denis Shapovalov vs Frances Tiafoe FAQ

Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 5–2 over 7 meetings.