Denis Shapovalov vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Frances Tiafoe have met 7 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–2. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 11 sets to Tiafoe's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Denis Shapovalov and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 11, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 19, 2021
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Oct 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 22, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 5, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 21, 2018
Delray Beach
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Shapovalov's 33%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 57 62 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | W 61 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 36 46 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 46 67 76 61 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 64 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–56 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 66% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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