🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#53 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–7
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#13 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Jasmine Paolini have met 5 times since 2018; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–2. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Eastbourne (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 901 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | -2.80u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Paolini's 38%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 36 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W | L 26 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 64 67 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 36 62 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 67 62 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | W 61 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 46 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 46 75 | L 64 46 46 |
Last five matches per player
Anna Blinkova
Nottingham ·
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch ·
Jun 8
Aryna Sabalenka
French Open ·
May 30
Susan Bandecchi
French Open ·
May 28
Aryna Sabalenka
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Susan Bandecchi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
French Open ·
May 25
Sandy Sierra
French Open ·
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
French Open ·
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Leolia Jeanjean
Rome · Round of 64
May 5
Elise Mertens
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–50 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 56% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
