Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
5 meetings ยท sets 4โ9

๐ซ๐ทUgo Humbert
#30 ยท 28 yrs ยท L
3Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2020; Ugo Humbert leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2020 on clay. On hard courts Humbert leads 3โ1. Humbert has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Humbert's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Humbert
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 2, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 22, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Humbert posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | W 75 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 63 62 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 36 06 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | L 36 16 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 76 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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