Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2020; Ugo Humbert leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2020 on clay. On hard courts Humbert leads 3–1. Humbert has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Humbert's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 2, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 22, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Humbert's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 63 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 36 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | W 75 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 63 62 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 55% |
| Sets won | 66% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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