Daniil Medvedev vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2022; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 5 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Machac posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | W 76 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 62 | L 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 46 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 64 16 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 46 26 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 64 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 16 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 26 64 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 67 46 | L 06 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 48% |
| Sets won | 66% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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