Daniil Medvedev vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 5โ1

๐จ๐ฟTomas Machac
#58 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2022; Daniil Medvedev leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 5 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Machac
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 0โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 313 mi ยท 503 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Medvedev's 20%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 64 16 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 46 26 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 64 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 16 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 26 76 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 26 64 61 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | W 76 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 67 46 | L 06 61 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 52% |
| Sets won | 65% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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