Daniil Medvedev vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 2 sets to Sakamoto's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Sakamoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +3.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Sakamoto's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | W 64 64 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 36 67 57 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–74 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 64% |
| Sets won | 66% | 58% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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