Daniil Medvedev vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 2 sets to Sakamoto's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 35% | 22/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Sakamoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -0.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,061 mi · 1,708 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakamoto's 25%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | L 67 46 |
| Yibing Wu | L 75 67 46 | L 57 16 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Jurij Rodionov
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Ugo Blanchet
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Michael Mmoh
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Aidan Mayo
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.