Daniil Medvedev vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
Title14 meetings · sets 15–21
🇷🇸Novak Djokovic
#8 · 39 yrs · R
TitleDaniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic have met 14 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 9–5. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 8–4. Djokovic has won the last 3 meetings. 4 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 3–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 15 sets to Djokovic's 21. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
14 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 10, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Mar 3, 2023
Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 3, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 7, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 18, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 7, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Sep 12, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Feb 21, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Nov 18, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 11, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | W 46 64 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 63 76 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 75 64 | W 76 63 36 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 63 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 62 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 63 64 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 63 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 71% |
| Sets won | 66% | 63% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 3 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 8 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.