Daniil Medvedev vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic have met 13 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 8–5. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 7–4. 4 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 3–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 15 sets to Djokovic's 21. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Mar 3, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 3, 2023
Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Jan 7, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 18, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 7, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Sep 12, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Feb 21, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Nov 18, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 11, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 62 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 63 64 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | W 63 63 62 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 63 64 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Yibing Wu | L 75 67 46 | W 64 57 64 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 46 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 74% |
| Sets won | 65% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 3 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 7 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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