Daniil Medvedev vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Mackenzie McDonald have met 5 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–0. Medvedev has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 11 sets to McDonald's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 233 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 16, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs McDonald's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 26 62 75 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 64 36 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 46 57 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | L 16 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | L 62 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 57 46 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 76 67 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | W 36 63 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 36 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 49% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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