Daniil Medvedev vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
Title5 meetings · sets 11–0
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#169 · 31 yrs · R
3Daniil Medvedev and Mackenzie McDonald have met 5 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–0. Medvedev has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 11 sets to McDonald's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 16, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs McDonald's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 46 64 63 | L 62 36 46 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 26 62 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 46 57 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | L 16 36 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 57 46 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 76 67 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | W 36 63 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 36 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 41% |
| Sets won | 66% | 43% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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