Daniil Medvedev vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2023; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Sonego's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 28, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 12, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Sonego posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | L 57 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 63 | W 63 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 64 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 26 63 75 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | W 62 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 76 06 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 47% |
| Sets won | 65% | 46% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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