Alexander Zverev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev have met 21 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 14–7. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 11–7. On clay courts Medvedev leads 2–0. 3 of their meetings have been finals, with Medvedev leading those 2–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 22 sets to Medvedev's 32. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 11 of 20 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 4, Medvedev 7).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Zverev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
21 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 29, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 21, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Semifinals
Jan 26, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 15, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 3, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Nov 21, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Final
Nov 16, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 6, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 16, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 8, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Nov 15, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Final
Mar 23, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 4, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 64 67 63 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 64 46 46 | L |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 57 60 62 | W 76 63 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 60 63 | W 61 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 76 63 | L 46 06 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 61 63 76 | W 76 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 62 75 61 | L 36 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 76 62 | W 64 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 67 46 67 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 36 67 75 64 | W 36 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 72% |
| Sets won | 72% | 66% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 6 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 11 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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