Alexander Zverev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev have met 21 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 14–7. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 11–7. On clay courts Medvedev leads 2–0. 3 of their meetings have been finals, with Medvedev leading those 2–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 22 sets to Medvedev's 32. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 11 of 20 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 4, Medvedev 7).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
21 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 29, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 21, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Semifinals
Jan 26, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 15, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 3, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Nov 21, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Final
Nov 16, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 6, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 16, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 8, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Nov 15, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Final
Mar 23, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 4, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2016
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 62 64 | L 57 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 57 64 | L 76 67 16 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 36 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 57 64 | W 61 62 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | L 46 76 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 64 67 61 | L 36 75 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 64 61 | W 75 62 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 64 63 57 62 | W 67 63 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 70% |
| Sets won | 67% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 5 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 11 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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