Daniil Medvedev vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and John Millman have met 1 time since 2023; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 3 sets to Millman's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Millman
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward John Millman.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | -15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 18
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 2nd Round
Jan 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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