Daniil Medvedev vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and John Millman have met 1 time since 2023; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 3 sets to Millman's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Australian Open (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 233 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | - |
| ROI % | -39.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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