Adrian Mannarino vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and John Millman have met 3 times since 2019; John Millman leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Millman leads 3–0. Millman has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Millman leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Millman's 6. Their most recent meeting: John Millman won at Nur-Sultan (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Millman 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2020
Nur-Sultan
H Hard · Final
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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