Alex de Minaur vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and John Millman have met 4 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–0. Minaur has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 8 sets to Millman's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 4, Millman 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 14, 2021
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Mar 1, 2021
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 12, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -16.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | - |
| Sets won | 62% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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