Alex de Minaur vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and John Millman have met 4 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–0. Minaur has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 8 sets to Millman's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 4, Millman 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Millman
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward John Millman.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 13, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2021
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 12, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | - |
| ROI % | +8.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 18
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 2nd Round
Jan 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | - |
| Sets won | 63% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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