Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–5
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2–1. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 4 sets to Rybakina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 0, Rybakina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Coco Gauff.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gauff's 70%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 67 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 64 36 | W 64 57 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 26 76 62 | W 75 61 |
| Paula Badosa | W 64 76 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 16 76 06 | W 62 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 62 64 | W 26 63 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 64 62 | L |
| Ann Li | W 61 76 | W 62 75 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 26 64 61 | W 64 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–72 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 83% |
| Sets won | 68% | 74% |
| Games won | 57% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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