Casper Ruud vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2025; Casper Ruud leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 5 sets to Korda's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | - |
| ROI % | +4.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Korda's 56%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 06 75 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | W |
| Zachary Svajda | W 61 63 | L 46 67 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | W 63 57 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 66% |
| Sets won | 64% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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