Casper Ruud vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2025; Casper Ruud leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 5 sets to Korda's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -48.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Korda's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 06 75 57 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 61 63 | L 46 67 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | W 63 57 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Yibing Wu | L 67 67 | L 64 16 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 46 76 64 | W 46 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 64% |
| Sets won | 64% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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