Casper Ruud vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–0. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 7 sets to Musetti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 22, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 3, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 1, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ruud's 70%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 67 64 62 | W 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 63 57 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | W 64 76 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 16 46 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | W 75 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | W 63 60 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 65% |
| Sets won | 64% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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