Casper Ruud vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–0. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 7 sets to Musetti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 22, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 3, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 1, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Ruud and Musetti posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 67 64 108 | W 76 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 67 64 62 | W 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | W 64 76 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 75 63 | W 63 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | L 67 57 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 60% |
| Sets won | 64% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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