Carlos Alcaraz vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Ugo Humbert have met 3 times since 2024; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 6 sets to Humbert's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 13, 2024
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jul 7, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.68 |
| ROI % | - | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Humbert's 30%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 26 57 64 63 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 36 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 63 36 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 06 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 62 61 | L 46 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 76 36 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 61 67 57 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 26 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 46 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 56% |
| Sets won | 80% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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