Carlos Alcaraz vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Ugo Humbert have met 3 times since 2024; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 6 sets to Humbert's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 13, 2024
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jul 7, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Humbert's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | L 75 46 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 46 61 | L 57 76 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | W 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 63 36 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 06 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 76 36 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 61 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 55% |
| Sets won | 78% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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