Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Nuno Borges have met 2 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2023 on clay. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Borges's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 18, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.33 |
| ROI % | - | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Borges's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | L 36 76 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 62 61 | W 64 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 64 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 67 67 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 57 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 46 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 50% |
| Sets won | 80% | 51% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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