Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Nuno Borges have met 2 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2023 on clay. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Borges's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 18, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Borges's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | L 36 76 67 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | L 36 67 |
| Yibing Wu | W 63 64 61 | L 16 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 64 62 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 67 67 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 36 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–60 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 48% |
| Sets won | 78% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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