Carlos Alcaraz vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Mattia Bellucci have met 1 time since 2025; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Bellucci's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.37 |
| ROI % | - | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bellucci's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 76 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | L 75 57 57 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 75 67 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 57 62 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 63 75 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 16 26 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 49% |
| Sets won | 80% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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