Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.27 |
| ROI % | - | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 36 26 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | W 62 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 63 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 36 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 62 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–43 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 47% |
| Sets won | 80% | 46% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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