Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 64 | L 36 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 63 76 57 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | W 62 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 63 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 36 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 44% |
| Sets won | 78% | 46% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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