Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Chengdu Open - Chengdu
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 22 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.15 or shorter, Nuno Borges has won 15 of 17 (88%). That is level with the 86% the price implied.
At 4.88 or longer, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 1 of 16 (6%). The price implied 13%, so Camilo Ugo Carabelli has fallen 7 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nuno Borges meet next at the Chengdu Open - Chengdu on September 22 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 77% | 20/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 784 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Carabelli and Borges have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -32.3% | -5.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.58u | -1.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Carabelli's 20%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 36 36 | W 64 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 46 16 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 36 76 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | W 36 62 61 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | W 64 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 75 63 | W 64 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 67 62 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 16 64 36 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–63 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 51% |
| Sets won | 47% | 51% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |