Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 · 27 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 6–6
🇦🇷Roman Andres Burruchaga
#59 · 24 yrs · R
4Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga have met 5 times since 2023; Roman Andres Burruchaga leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Antofagasta Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Burruchaga leads 3–2. Burruchaga has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Carabelli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Burruchaga's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roman Andres Burruchaga won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Andres Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 67% | 31/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 40% | 29/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 17% | 4/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 84% | 42/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 62% | 31/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Andres Burruchaga 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Burruchaga
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 17, 2026
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2026
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · Final
Nov 3, 2023
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2023
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 3.57 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -17.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Burruchaga has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | L 67 16 06 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | W 26 75 62 20 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | W 75 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 26 57 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | W 64 26 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 75 63 | L 67 76 46 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–75 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 63% |
| Sets won | 47% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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