Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Hugo DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Hugo Dellien have met 7 times since 2021; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Cordenons Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 5–2. Carabelli has won the last 4 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 11 sets to Dellien's 6. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Hugo Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 36% | 24/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 48% | 20/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 3, Dellien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Dellien
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2026
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 9, 2025
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · Final
Feb 11, 2024
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 7, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 7, 2021
Santiago 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2021
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Final
Aug 3, 2021
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Hugo Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -12.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dellien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 36 26 | L 36 75 57 |
| Moez Echargui | L | W 64 64 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 62 76 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Matej Dodig
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Facundo Mena
Porto Challenger · Final
Sep 6
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Miguel Damas
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–67 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 64% |
| Sets won | 47% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 5 | 2 |
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