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Head-to-Head

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli

#76 · 27 yrs · R

0–2

2 meetings · sets 1–4

Francisco Cerundolo

🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo

#25 · 28 yrs · R

4

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2021; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 1 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorUgo CarabelliCerundolo
Wins in straight sets62%75%
Wins a set when losing27%28%
Goes to a deciding set33%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite33%61%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog46%50%
Tiebreak sets won58%53%
Wins after taking set 188%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 181%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Cerundolo 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Carabelli

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude
vs

Cerundolo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jan 29, 2022

Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger

C Clay · Final

46
36
Cerundolo

Oct 19, 2021

Buenos Aires Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

64
16
46
Cerundolo

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeCarabelliCerundolo
1 or more100%100%
3 or more57%56%
5 or more57%33%
10 or more0%11%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
W-L3–45–4
Avg odds2.471.89
ROI %-22.6%+9.4%
Units P/L-1.58u+0.85u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
Countries33
Events33
Matches33
Distance1,959 mi · 3,153 km3,258 mi · 5,243 km
RouteCAN → USA → MEXMEX → CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Carabelli's 20%).

OpponentCarabelliCerundolo
Miomir Kecmanovic
L
36
36
W
75
16
76
Brandon Nakashima
L
36
46
W
67
63
64
Aleksandar Kovacevic
L
46
76
26
W
64
67
62
Andrey Rublev
L
16
61
36
67
W
63
76
63
Emilio Nava
W
76
63
63
W
61
61
Alex de Minaur
L
46
26
L
63
46
36
Alejandro Tabilo
L
46
26
W
60
62
Yannick Hanfmann
L
46
36
W
61
75
Alexander Zverev
L
76
16
57
L
75
06
26
Mariano Navone
W
62
75
W
63
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Carabelli
WLLLLWWL
W

Nicolas Mejia

Cancun Challenger · 1st Round

75
64

Aug 20

L

Miomir Kecmanovic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
36

Aug 13

L

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

657
46

Aug 4

L

Titouan Droguet

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round

06
63
46

Jul 20

L

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

26
62
36

Jul 16

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

36
75
75

Jul 15

W

Marko Topo

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round

627
763
63

Jul 14

L

Daniel Merida

Wimbledon · Round of 128

64
63
26
03

Jun 30

Cerundolo
LLLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
46

Aug 16

L

Alex Michelsen

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 6

L

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

7611
46
06

Jul 31

L

Jaume Munar

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
46
36

Jun 30

W

Tommy Paul

HSBC Championships - London · Final

647
64
63

Jun 21

W

Brandon Nakashima

HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals

657
63
64

Jun 20

W

Arthur Fery

HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals

761
36
64

Jun 19

W

Jenson Brooksby

HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round

60
64

Jun 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ CarabelliCerundolo ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–54 matches

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
Matches won47%61%
Sets won47%59%
Games won48%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCarabelliCerundolo
Finals01
ATP Challenger Tour02

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCarabelliCerundolo
Clay02

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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Francisco Cerundolo FAQ

Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.