Cameron Norrie vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งCameron Norrie
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท L
3 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ฆ๐ทFrancisco Cerundolo
#25 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4Cameron Norrie and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2โ1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Open Parc - Lyon (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
๐ฏ Baseliner
Cerundolo
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Apr 10, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 1st Round
May 17, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km |
| Route | MEX โ CAN โ USA | MEX โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Norrie and Cerundolo posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 75 06 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 63 46 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 64 67 62 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 63 64 | W 26 64 62 61 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | W 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 57 16 |
| Tomas Machac | W 62 67 76 | L 67 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | W 75 16 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London ยท Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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