Cameron Norrie vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2021
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | L 67 64 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 57 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 64 62 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 46 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 36 46 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | W 67 63 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–63 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 71% |
| Sets won | 51% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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