Cameron Norrie vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2021
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 61 06 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 46 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 36 46 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | W 67 63 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | L 67 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 64 36 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–56 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 66% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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