Cameron Norrie vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2021; Cameron Norrie leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at cinch Championships - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 2, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2021
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 36 63 46 | W 64 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | L |
| Luca Van Assche | L 76 26 26 36 | W 60 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | W 64 46 64 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 57 64 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 46 16 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | W 26 63 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 64 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 57 64 63 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–52 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 56% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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