Cameron Norrie vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2021; Cameron Norrie leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at cinch Championships - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 2, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 1, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2021
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Norrie and Shapovalov posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 57 64 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 46 16 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | W 26 63 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 64 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 57 64 63 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 36 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | L 26 16 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 67 46 | W 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 46% |
| Sets won | 53% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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