Cameron Norrie vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Camilo Ugo Carabelli have met 1 time since 2026; Cameron Norrie leads 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 2 sets to Carabelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Ugo Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 33% | 14/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 81% | 13/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Ugo Carabelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 76 16 57 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | L 36 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | L 46 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | W 63 36 75 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | L 46 76 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | L 16 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | L 16 61 36 67 |
| Emilio Nava | W 61 76 46 76 | W 76 63 63 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | W 62 75 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 76 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 47% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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