Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Pau Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Nakashima has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Bellucci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 5, 2024
Surbiton Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2024
Pau Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bellucci's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 62 46 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 75 57 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | L 57 62 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 57 62 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 64 46 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | W 62 67 61 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 36 67 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | W 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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