Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#19 · 25 yrs · R

3
3–0

3 meetings · sets 6–2

Mattia Bellucci

🇮🇹Mattia Bellucci

#86 · 25 yrs · L

Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Pau Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Nakashima has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNakashimaBellucci
Wins in straight sets74%71%
Wins a set when losing40%33%
Goes to a deciding set31%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%56%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%61%
Tiebreak sets won50%48%
Wins after taking set 185%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%71%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Bellucci 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Bellucci

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Feb 9, 2026

Dallas Open - Dallas

H Hard · 1st Round

63
64
Nakashima

Jun 5, 2024

Surbiton Challenger

G Grass · 1st Round

647
75
764
Nakashima

Feb 23, 2024

Pau Challenger

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
64
762
Nakashima

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNakashimaBellucci
1 or more100%100%
3 or more95%100%
5 or more91%94%
10 or more52%29%
15 or more10%0%
20 or more5%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNakashimaBellucci
W-L15–610–7
Avg odds1.842.05
ROI %+27.8%-10.8%
Units P/L+5.84u-1.84u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNakashimaBellucci
Countries31
Events33
Matches410
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km927 mi · 1,492 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bellucci's 30%).

OpponentNakashimaBellucci
Alexander Bublik
L
76
36
67
W
76
61
Alexandre Muller
L
26
57
W
64
62
Elias Ymer
W
63
64
W
46
75
76
Ugo Humbert
L
36
26
L
67
76
46
Jakub Mensik
W
61
36
107
L
57
62
67
Taylor Fritz
W
76
46
63
L
06
16
16
Alex Michelsen
L
36
46
46
L
26
16
Sebastian Baez
W
62
61
60
L
57
36
Luciano Darderi
W
62
63
L
62
46
26
Frances Tiafoe
L
57
36
L
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Nakashima
LWLWLWLW
L

Alexander Bublik

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

767
36
657

Oct 11

W

Matteo Berrettini

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

764
75

Oct 9

L

Ugo Humbert

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

36
26

Oct 1

W

Jakub Mensik

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

61
36
107

Sep 25

L

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

36
46
46

Sep 2

W

Sebastian Baez

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

62
61
60

Aug 31

L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

Bellucci
LWWLWWWW
L

Yi Zhou

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

46
63
647

Oct 7

W

Alexandre Muller

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying

64
62

Oct 6

W

Elias Ymer

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying

46
75
763

Oct 5

L

Lloyd Harris

Jingshan Challenger · Final

61
36
647

Oct 4

W

Yanki Erel

Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals

64
64

Oct 3

W

Adam Walton

Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round

75
62

Oct 1

W

Alexandre Muller

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round

60
63

Sep 30

W

Keisuke Saitoh

Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

62
62

Sep 29

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ NakashimaNakashima ahead↓ Bellucci

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–66 matches

MetricNakashimaBellucci
Matches won59%55%
Sets won58%53%
Games won53%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNakashimaBellucci
ATP 50010
ATP Challenger Tour20

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNakashimaBellucci
Hard20
Grass10

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci FAQ

Brandon Nakashima leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.