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Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#17 · 25 yrs · R

3
1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–4

Marin Cilic

🇭🇷Marin Cilic

#81 · 37 yrs · R

Brandon Nakashima and Marin Cilic have met 3 times since 2024; Marin Cilic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Cilic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNakashimaCilic
Wins in straight sets74%74%
Wins a set when losing33%25%
Goes to a deciding set29%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite54%65%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog69%48%
Tiebreak sets won50%42%
Wins after taking set 188%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Cilic 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Cilic

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Brandon Nakashima and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 21, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

62
46
677
Cilic

Feb 17, 2026

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

H Hard · 1st Round

764
765
Nakashima

Sep 23, 2024

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

H Hard · Semifinals

46
667
Cilic

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNakashimaCilic
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%75%
5 or more91%75%
10 or more43%13%
15 or more14%13%
20 or more10%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNakashimaCilic
W-L16–53–5
Avg odds1.872.30
ROI %+38.6%-34.5%
Units P/L+8.10u-2.76u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNakashimaCilic
Countries22
Events32
Matches133
Distance1,200 mi · 1,932 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteUSA → CAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cilic's 40%).

OpponentNakashimaCilic
Frances Tiafoe
L
57
36
L
75
26
26
Taylor Fritz
W
76
46
63
L
67
67
Nuno Borges
W
63
67
63
W
36
76
63
Daniil Medvedev
W
67
76
61
L
16
26
46
Arthur Rinderknech
W
76
57
75
L
26
46
Daniel Altmaier
W
62
61
L
26
36
Jack Pinnington Jones
W
63
76
75
W
61
64
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
75
16
67
67
L
67
36
Nikoloz Basilashvili
L
67
46
W
63
76
Marcos Giron
L
67
16
W
75
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Nakashima
LWWWWLWW
L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

W

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
657
63

Aug 20

W

Daniil Medvedev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

637
764
61

Aug 18

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
75

Aug 16

L

Ben Shelton

National Bank Open - Montreal · Final

36
647

Aug 14

W

Rafael Jodar

National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals

763
64

Aug 13

W

Luciano Darderi

National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals

62
63

Aug 11

Cilic
LLWLLLWW
L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

63
16
16

Aug 15

L

Frances Tiafoe

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

75
26
26

Aug 5

W

Sho Shimabukuro

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

762
61

Aug 4

L

Daniil Medvedev

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
26
46

Jun 29

L

Ugo Humbert

HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round

57
36

Jun 16

L

Daniil Medvedev

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals

26
63
16

Jun 13

W

Nuno Borges

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round

36
765
63

Jun 12

W

Denis Shapovalov

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round

657
64
75

Jun 8

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ NakashimaCilic ahead↓ Cilic

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–61 matches

MetricNakashimaCilic
Matches won61%48%
Sets won59%48%
Games won53%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNakashimaCilic
ATP 25010
ATP Masters 100001
ATP World Tour 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNakashimaCilic
Hard12

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Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilic FAQ

Marin Cilic leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.