Brandon Nakashima vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Marin Cilic have met 3 times since 2024; Marin Cilic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Cilic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 23, 2024
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cilic's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 57 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 75 26 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 67 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 16 26 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | L 26 36 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 61 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 67 36 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | W 75 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 26 75 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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