Brandon Nakashima and Mackenzie McDonald have met 6 times since 2020; Mackenzie McDonald leads 4–2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Houston (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Mackenzie McDonald are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit — across 12,482 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Houston
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 23, 2024
Atlanta
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 1, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 5, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 16, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 15, 2020
Orlando
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -3.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs McDonald's 11%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 63 | L 26 26 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 67 46 | L 26 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 63 | L 26 36 |
| Elias Ymer | W 63 64 | L 67 64 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 64 36 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 64 | L 62 16 26 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 36 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | L 67 76 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 26 67 | L 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Merida
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 8
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 47% |
| Sets won | 55% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
