Brandon Nakashima vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Luciano Darderi have met 3 times since 2025; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg Open - Hamburg in 2025 on clay. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Darderi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Darderi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 20, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
May 21, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Darderi's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | L 16 06 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 26 64 62 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 46 63 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 76 57 60 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 75 63 | W 46 61 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | W 64 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 06 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 36 63 510 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 75 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–67 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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