Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2024; Lorenzo Sonego leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. Sonego has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Sonego's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Dec 30, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 12 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 63 67 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 76 61 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 57 36 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 75 63 | W 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | W 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 67 | L 67 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 47% |
| Sets won | 59% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.