🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko have met 4 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–1. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Stuttgart (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -2.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -0.34u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ostapenko's 33%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 64 36 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 26 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 16 67 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | W 46 64 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 64 46 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | W 57 62 75 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 46 63 61 | W 64 64 |
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 20
Nikola Bartunkova
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Magda Linette
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Magda Linette
French Open ·
May 27
Ella Seidel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Magda Linette
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Ella Seidel
French Open ·
May 25
Ella Seidel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Qinwen Zheng
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Sorana Cirstea
Rome · Quarterfinals
May 5
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 51% |
| Sets won | 82% | 54% |
| Games won | 60% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
