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Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka

#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

5–8

13 meetings · sets 12–20

Iga Swiatek

🇵🇱Iga Swiatek

#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek have met 13 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 8–5. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Swiatek leads 5–2. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 5 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 4–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 12 sets to Swiatek's 20. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSabalenkaSwiatek
Wins in straight sets84%80%
Wins a set when losing70%65%
Goes to a deciding set25%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite69%58%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—0%
Tiebreak sets won63%75%
Wins after taking set 192%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 186%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Swiatek 6).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sabalenka

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Swiatek

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

13 career meetings, newest first

Jun 5, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · Semifinals

761
46
60
Sabalenka

Aug 18, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Semifinals

63
63
Sabalenka

May 18, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Final

26
36
Swiatek

May 4, 2024

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Final

57
64
677
Swiatek

Nov 5, 2023

WTA Finals - Cancun

H Hard · Semifinals

36
26
Swiatek

May 6, 2023

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Final

63
36
63
Sabalenka

Apr 23, 2023

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

36
46
Swiatek

Nov 6, 2022

WTA Finals - Fort Worth

H Hard · Semifinals

62
26
61
Sabalenka

Sep 8, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · Semifinals

63
16
46
Swiatek

May 14, 2022

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Semifinals

26
16
Swiatek

Apr 24, 2022

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

26
26
Swiatek

Feb 24, 2022

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
36
Swiatek

Nov 13, 2021

WTA Finals - Guadalajara

H Hard · Round Robin

26
62
75
Sabalenka

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSabalenkaSwiatek
1 or more93%64%
3 or more87%7%
5 or more73%7%
10 or more20%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
W-L11–510–3
Avg odds1.161.24
ROI %-23.4%-6.7%
Units P/L-3.75u-0.87u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
Countries22
Events22
Matches59
Distance411 mi · 662 km411 mi · 662 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Sabalenka's 40%).

OpponentSabalenkaSwiatek
Jessica Pegula
L
46
76
06
L
57
64
46
Sara Bejlek
L
67
46
W
60
63
Elina Svitolina
W
62
63
W
63
16
63
Diana Shnaider
L
63
57
06
W
62
61
Ekaterina Alexandrova
L
67
64
46
W
16
76
75
Marta Kostyuk
W
64
63
W
36
61
62
Naomi Osaka
L
26
67
W
62
61
Daria Kasatkina
W
60
75
W
57
61
61
Sorana Cirstea
L
62
36
57
W
63
62
Caty Mcnally
W
64
62
W
61
67
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sabalenka
LWWLWWLW
L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

677
46

Aug 20

W

Xinyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 19

W

Talia Gibson

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
762

Aug 16

L

Ekaterina Alexandrova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

637
64
46

Aug 9

W

Shuai Zhang

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

63
64

Aug 7

W

Moyuka Uchijima

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
63

Aug 5

L

Naomi Osaka

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

26
627

Jul 5

W

Jelena Ostapenko

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

64
64

Jul 3

Swiatek
LWWWWWWW
L

Jessica Pegula

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
64
46

Aug 22

W

Diane Parry

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
63

Aug 19

W

Maria Sakkari

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

46
61
61

Aug 17

W

Emiliana Arango

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
60

Aug 16

W

Elina Svitolina

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

63
16
63

Aug 13

W

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

62
61

Aug 11

W

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

36
61
62

Aug 8

W

Viktorija Golubic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
61

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SabalenkaSwiatek ahead↓ Swiatek

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
Matches won83%72%
Sets won79%70%
Games won59%60%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSabalenkaSwiatek
Finals14
Grand Slam11
WTA Finals21
WTA 50002
WTA 100024

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSabalenkaSwiatek
Hard33
Clay25

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek FAQ

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 8–5 over 13 meetings.