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Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka

#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

5–8

13 meetings · sets 12–20

Iga Swiatek

🇵🇱Iga Swiatek

#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek have met 13 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 8–5. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Swiatek leads 5–2. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 5 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 4–1. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 12 sets to Swiatek's 20. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at French Open - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSabalenkaSwiatek
Wins in straight sets86%79%
Wins a set when losing64%63%
Goes to a deciding set23%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite70%57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—0%
Tiebreak sets won68%67%
Wins after taking set 194%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 186%77%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 1, Swiatek 6).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sabalenka

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Swiatek

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

13 career meetings, newest first

Jun 5, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · Semifinals

761
46
60
Sabalenka

Aug 18, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Semifinals

63
63
Sabalenka

May 18, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Final

26
36
Swiatek

May 4, 2024

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Final

57
64
677
Swiatek

Nov 5, 2023

WTA Finals - Cancun

H Hard · Semifinals

36
26
Swiatek

May 6, 2023

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Final

63
36
63
Sabalenka

Apr 23, 2023

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

36
46
Swiatek

Nov 6, 2022

WTA Finals - Fort Worth

H Hard · Semifinals

62
26
61
Sabalenka

Sep 8, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · Semifinals

63
16
46
Swiatek

May 14, 2022

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Semifinals

26
16
Swiatek

Apr 24, 2022

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

26
26
Swiatek

Feb 24, 2022

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
36
Swiatek

Nov 13, 2021

WTA Finals - Guadalajara

H Hard · Round Robin

26
62
75
Sabalenka

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSabalenkaSwiatek
1 or more93%77%
3 or more87%0%
5 or more67%0%
10 or more27%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
W-L10–415–3
Avg odds1.171.22
ROI %-18.6%+1.3%
Units P/L-2.61u+0.24u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
Countries11
Events11
Matches24
Distance0 mi · 0 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteROUROU

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sabalenka's 60%).

OpponentSabalenkaSwiatek
Iva Jovic
W
63
60
W
61
63
Elena Rybakina
L
46
75
26
W
Jessica Pegula
W
75
62
L
57
64
46
Qinwen Zheng
W
63
64
L
57
36
Taylor Townsend
W
64
63
W
61
26
63
Sara Bejlek
L
67
46
W
60
63
Elina Svitolina
W
62
63
W
63
16
63
Diana Shnaider
L
63
57
06
W
62
61
Marta Kostyuk
W
64
63
W
36
61
62
Naomi Osaka
L
26
67
W
62
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sabalenka
LWLWWWWW
L

Nikola Bartunkova

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
36

Oct 4

W

Renata Zarazua

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

61
63

Oct 2

L

Elena Rybakina

U.S. Open - New York · Final

46
75
26

Sep 12

W

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

75
62

Sep 10

W

Linda Noskova

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

761
36
76

Sep 8

W

Taylor Townsend

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

64
63

Sep 6

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
64

Sep 4

W

Polina Iatcenko

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
61

Sep 3

Swiatek
LWWWLWWW
L

Elise Mertens

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

607
36

Oct 9

W

Iva Jovic

China Open - Beijing · 4th Round

61
63

Oct 7

W

Donna Vekic

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
760
62

Oct 5

W

Xinyu Gao

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

62
63

Oct 3

L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

57
36

Sep 7

W

Marie Bouzkova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

763
76

Sep 5

W

Nadia Podoroska

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
62

Sep 3

W

Xiyu Wang

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

62
63

Sep 1

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SabalenkaSwiatek ahead↓ Swiatek

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–62 matches

MetricSabalenkaSwiatek
Matches won82%72%
Sets won79%70%
Games won59%60%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSabalenkaSwiatek
Finals14
Grand Slam11
WTA Finals21
WTA 50002
WTA 100024

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSabalenkaSwiatek
Hard33
Clay25

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek FAQ

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 8–5 over 13 meetings.