Arthur Rinderknech vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Daniil Medvedev have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 4. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rinderknech's 30%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | L 76 67 16 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | W 64 60 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 63 36 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 64 | W 61 62 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | L 46 76 46 |
| Terence Atmane | L 67 36 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 46 | L 06 06 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 61 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 70% |
| Sets won | 50% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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