Arthur Rinderknech vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทArthur Rinderknech
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
4w3 meetings ยท sets 2โ7

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#6 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
TitleArthur Rinderknech and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2022; Daniil Medvedev leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
๐ค Servebot
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -51.2% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.12u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 9 |
| Distance | โ | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km |
| Route | โ | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rinderknech's 30%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L 57 46 61 67 | L |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | W 75 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W | L 67 46 67 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 62 75 | W 61 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | L 76 67 16 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | W 64 60 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 63 36 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ68 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 72% |
| Sets won | 47% | 66% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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