Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul Challenger in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 5. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 32% | 16/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
May 23, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 21, 2021
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -45.8% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.12u | +5.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | — | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rinderknech's 20%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | L 76 36 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 46 | W 76 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 46 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | W 67 76 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 63 | L 36 46 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | W 62 61 60 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W | L 57 36 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 64 67 67 | W 63 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | W 62 61 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 60% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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