Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul Challenger in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 4 sets to Nakashima's 5. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
May 23, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 21, 2021
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 10% | 2/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +8.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 13 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rinderknech's 50%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | W 46 62 64 | W 67 76 61 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 64 67 67 | W 63 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 46 | W 62 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 63 67 | W 76 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 76 810 | W 63 64 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 64 | L 67 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 76 63 | W 76 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 67 67 | W 76 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 64 | L 62 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–61 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 61% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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