Anna Kalinskaya vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wAnna Kalinskaya and Jasmine Paolini have met 4 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 3–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paolini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Final
Jan 22, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 16, 2021
Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kalinskaya and Paolini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 26 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | L 46 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 64 26 76 | W 67 62 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 16 26 | L 75 26 57 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 63 | W 36 64 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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