Anna Kalinskaya vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Jasmine Paolini have met 4 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 3–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paolini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Final
Jan 22, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 16, 2021
Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Paolini's 22%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L | L 36 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 26 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | L 46 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 64 26 76 | W 67 62 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 16 26 | L 75 26 57 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 51% |
| Sets won | 61% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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