Andrey Rublev vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 13 times since 2017; Andrey Rublev leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at Quimper in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 6–3. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 3–1. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 20 sets to Tsitsipas's 18. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 18, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 8, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · Semifinals
May 6, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 15, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 18, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Final
Mar 6, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 17, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 7, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 27, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Final
Aug 27, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Nov 9, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 1, 2017
Quimper
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +4.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 46 63 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | W 64 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W 61 64 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 26 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 26 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 46 76 61 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–58 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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