Andrey Rublev vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Luciano Darderi have met 2 times since 2025; Andrey Rublev leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hamburg Open - Hamburg in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Rublev leads 2–0. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Darderi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Darderi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 19, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Final
May 22, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 46 63 75 |
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | W 46 61 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | W 26 75 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 16 75 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 64 63 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 76 67 63 | W 63 36 108 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 67 75 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 16 36 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | L 64 26 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–67 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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