Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#28 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
36 meetings ยท sets 8โ6

๐ฎ๐นLuciano Darderi
#22 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi have met 6 times since 2023; they are level 3โ3. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2โ1. On hard courts Darderi leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 8 sets to Darderi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 3, Darderi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Darderi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Jan 26, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ9 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Darderi's 20%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | W 76 57 60 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | L 46 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 76 | L 26 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 67 75 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | L 46 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 26 61 16 | W 64 67 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 63 67 46 | L 36 63 510 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 36 76 | L 67 57 26 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 62 | L 67 64 46 62 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 67 36 | L 64 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 67โ81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 58% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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