Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi have met 6 times since 2023; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2–1. On hard courts Darderi leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 8 sets to Darderi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 3, Darderi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 26, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +1.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Tabilo's 30%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 26 26 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 75 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | W 76 57 60 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | L 46 26 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 67 75 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | L 46 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 26 61 16 | W 64 67 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 63 67 46 | L 36 63 510 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 36 76 | L 67 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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