Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio BusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#30 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
4 meetings ยท sets 8โ1

๐ต๐ชIgnacio Buse
#36 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
33Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse have met 4 times since 2023; Alejandro Tabilo leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Brasilia Challenger in 2023 on hard. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2โ0. On hard courts Tabilo leads 2โ0. Tabilo has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 8 sets to Buse's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Aix En Provence Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Ignacio Buse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 51% | 31/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 80% | 32/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 43% | 17/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 3, Buse 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ค Servebot
Buse
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Aix En Provence Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 22, 2026
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Feb 4, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2
H Hard ยท Rubber 5
Nov 22, 2023
Brasilia Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Ignacio Buse | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ10 | 9โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +5.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +0.89u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Buse posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 46 63 | L 06 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 26 26 67 | L 16 67 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 76 46 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 26 61 16 | L 75 57 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 67 75 | W 62 57 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 63 67 46 | L 26 57 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | L 36 76 36 57 |
| Emilio Nava | W 63 63 | W 76 36 75 60 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | L 63 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Zizou Bergs
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Benjamin Bonzi
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Marcos Giron
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Final
Aug 29
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Semifinals
Aug 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 66โ73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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