Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio BusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse have met 4 times since 2023; Alejandro Tabilo leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Brasilia Challenger in 2023 on hard. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2–0. On hard courts Tabilo leads 2–0. Tabilo has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 8 sets to Buse's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Aix En Provence Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Ignacio Buse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 46% | 31/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 42% | 16/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 84% | 36/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 51% | 22/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 3, Buse 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Buse
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Aix En Provence Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 22, 2026
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 4, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 5
Nov 22, 2023
Brasilia Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Buse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Ignacio Buse | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | +7.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +1.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Buse posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 26 36 | W 76 46 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 67 75 | W 62 57 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 63 67 46 | L 26 57 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | L 36 76 36 57 |
| Emilio Nava | W 63 63 | W 76 36 75 60 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | L 63 36 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 64 63 | W 36 75 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Final
Aug 29
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 28
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Daniel Altmaier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 64% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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