Andrey Rublev vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Andrey Rublev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–0. Rublev has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Draper's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Jack Draper are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Final
Sep 4, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 3, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Rublev and Draper posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 16 57 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 57 36 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 76 67 36 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 61 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | L 57 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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