Andrey Rublev vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Andrey Rublev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–0. Rublev has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Draper's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Draper 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Final
Sep 4, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 3, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Rublev and Draper posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 57 36 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 76 67 36 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 61 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | L 57 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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