Andrey Rublev vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Casper Ruud have met 8 times since 2019; Andrey Rublev leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Hamburg in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Rublev leads 4–0. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Ruud's 7. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 20% | 9/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 89% | 24/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Ruud 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 23, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Final
Nov 19, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 19, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 17, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 26, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 16, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +4.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | +0.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Ruud posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | W 63 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | W 62 76 57 06 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 67 64 108 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | W 67 64 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 46 26 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 57 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 63 62 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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