Andrey Rublev vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Casper Ruud have met 8 times since 2019; Andrey Rublev leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Hamburg in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Rublev leads 4–0. On hard courts Ruud leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Ruud's 7. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Ruud 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 23, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Final
Nov 19, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 19, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 17, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 26, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 16, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 61 61 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | W 67 64 62 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 46 76 63 36 67 | W 62 76 57 06 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 46 26 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 57 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 63 62 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 57 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | W 63 61 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 69% |
| Sets won | 56% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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