Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 3–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 2, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 29, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 25, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Popyrin's 29%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 76 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 67 26 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 46 64 63 | W 64 67 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 62 36 63 67 67 | W 64 62 |
| Quentin Halys | L 75 36 46 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–48 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 56% |
| Sets won | 35% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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