Alexei Popyrin vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2019; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sophia Antipolis in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 2, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2022
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 26, 2020
Trieste Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 3, 2019
Sophia Antipolis
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Popyrin's 11%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 67 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 36 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 36 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 62 75 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 16 46 26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | L 46 26 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 62 36 63 67 67 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 67 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 36 46 | W 60 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–52 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 65% |
| Sets won | 35% | 62% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.