Alexei Popyrin vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2019; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sophia Antipolis in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 2, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2022
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 26, 2020
Trieste Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 3, 2019
Sophia Antipolis
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 25%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 67 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 63 | W |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 36 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 36 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 62 75 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 62 36 63 67 67 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 67 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 64 36 46 | W 60 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–43 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 60% |
| Sets won | 36% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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