Alexander Bublik vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 11, 2021
Antalya Open - Antalya
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2017
Istanbul
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -6.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 76 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 62 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 64 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | L 26 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 64 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 67 | L 67 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 46 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 36 26 | W 46 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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