Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#35 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
32 meetings Β· sets 2β2

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29wAlex Michelsen and Sebastian Korda have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 2 sets to Korda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Michelsen and Sebastian Korda are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | - |
| ROI % | -1.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | β |
| Route | JPN β CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Michelsen's 38%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 64 16 | W 63 57 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 63 57 36 67 | W 75 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | W |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 06 64 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 66% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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