Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#45 Β· 21 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 2β2

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wAlex Michelsen and Sebastian Korda have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane International - Brisbane in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 2 sets to Korda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Michelsen and Sebastian Korda are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | - |
| ROI % | -11.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 5 | β |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | β |
| Route | CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Michelsen's 38%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | W 75 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 06 64 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | W 76 63 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | W 46 63 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 64% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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