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Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex de Minaur

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur

#8 · 27 yrs · R

1–0

1 meeting · sets 2–1

Tomas Machac

🇨🇿Tomas Machac

#72 · 26 yrs · R

Alex de Minaur and Tomas Machac have met 1 time since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 2 sets to Machac's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).

Upcoming match

Tournament
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
Level
ATP 500
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 26 · 10:00 AM ET

Book odds

Tomas Machac3.503.40
Alex de Minaur1.30

Set spread

Machac -1.56.12
de Minaur +1.51.10

Game spread

Machac +41.81
de Minaur -41.85
MachacHard-court specialist (71%)de MinaurHard-court specialist (69%)

Record at prices like this

Tomas Machac3.40implies 23%won 38%+15 pts

At 3.40 or longer, Tomas Machac has won 6 of 16 (38%). The price implied 23%, so Tomas Machac has beaten it by 15 points.

Alex de Minaur1.30implies 79%won 83%+4 pts

At 1.30 or shorter, Alex de Minaur has won 123 of 149 (83%). The price implied 79%, so Alex de Minaur has beaten it by 4 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Alex de Minaur and Tomas Machac meet next at the Erste Bank Open - Vienna on October 26 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicatorde MinaurMachac
Wins in straight sets66%53%
Wins a set when losing42%47%
Goes to a deciding set37%47%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite46%39%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog50%57%
Tiebreak sets won72%57%
Wins after taking set 188%100%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 172%75%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Machac 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Machac

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,701 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

1 career meeting, newest first

Apr 9, 2025

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
60
63
Minaur

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMinaurMachac
1 or more100%100%
3 or more84%85%
5 or more47%54%
10 or more11%8%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMinaurMachac
W-L15–66–8
Avg odds1.641.82
ROI %+6.6%-36.1%
Units P/L+1.38u-5.06u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMinaurMachac
Countries33
Events44
Matches98
Distance10,988 mi · 17,684 km6,081 mi · 9,786 km
RouteGBR → CHN → AUTCHN → KAZ → AUT

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Machac's 30%).

OpponentMinaurMachac
Karen Khachanov
W
63
64
L
26
64
67
Alexander Zverev
L
46
46
L
46
26
26
Alexander Bublik
W
64
61
61
L
46
67
Andrey Rublev
W
16
62
63
L
46
36
Quentin Halys
W
36
76
75
W
64
62
Toby Samuel
W
64
64
62
L
26
36
26
Cameron Norrie
L
75
67
16
L
26
76
67
James Duckworth
W
62
76
W
63
63
Stefanos Tsitsipas
W
64
36
63
W
64
76
Flavio Cobolli
L
57
67
36
L
16
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur
LWWLWWWW
L

Alexander Zverev

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals

46
46

Oct 15

W

Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round

63
64

Oct 13

W

Rei Sakamoto

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

766
64

Oct 11

L

Novak Djokovic

China Open - Beijing · Final

Oct 6

W

Hubert Hurkacz

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Andrey Rublev

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

16
62
63

Oct 4

W

Quentin Halys

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

36
765
75

Oct 3

W

Mariano Navone

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

764
62

Oct 1

Machac
WLWLWWLW
W

Corentin Moutet

Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round Qualifying

64
64

Oct 24

L

Karen Khachanov

Almaty Open - Almaty · 2nd Round

26
64
677

Oct 22

W

Zangar Nurlanuly

Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round

62
60

Oct 21

L

Liam Draxl

Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals

46
63
46

Oct 16

W

Aleksandar Vukic

Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round

62
61

Oct 15

W

Alexandre Muller

Jinan Challenger · 1st Round

63
64

Oct 13

L

Alexander Bublik

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
647

Oct 9

W

Zhizhen Zhang

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

16
763
62

Oct 7

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–67 matches

MetricMinaurMachac
Matches won66%53%
Sets won62%52%
Games won54%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMinaurMachac
ATP Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMinaurMachac
Clay10

Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac FAQ

Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 1–0 over 1 meetings.