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Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex de Minaur and Grigor Dimitrov have met 6 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–2. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 9 sets to Dimitrov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicatorde MinaurDimitrov
Wins in straight sets74%75%
Wins a set when losing43%36%
Goes to a deciding set33%32%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%36%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog56%57%
Tiebreak sets won70%30%
Wins after taking set 189%73%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%55%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 3, Dimitrov 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Dimitrov

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Grigor Dimitrov.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Apr 11, 2025

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

C Clay · Quarterfinals

60
60
Minaur

Feb 17, 2024

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

H Hard · Semifinals

64
63
Minaur

Feb 17, 2023

ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
63
667
Dimitrov

Aug 10, 2022

National Bank Open - Montreal

H Hard · 2nd Round

764
75
Minaur

Oct 24, 2020

European Open - Antwerp

H Hard · Semifinals

764
637
64
Minaur

Sep 2, 2019

US Open

H Hard · Round of 16

57
36
46
Dimitrov

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMinaurDimitrov
1 or more94%100%
3 or more78%92%
5 or more50%85%
10 or more0%31%
15 or more0%15%
20 or more0%8%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMinaurDimitrov
W-L13–68–5
Avg odds1.331.69
ROI %-16.4%-3.7%
Units P/L-3.11u-0.48u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMinaurDimitrov
Countries21
Events21
Matches51
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteCAN → USAUSA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Dimitrov's 25%).

OpponentMinaurDimitrov
Arthur Fery
W
75
76
L
57
63
64
46
67
Nuno Borges
W
75
62
L
46
26
Matteo Berrettini
W
61
76
W
63
64
36
57
63
Jakub Mensik
L
60
26
26
36
W
76
46
75
63
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
W
62
46
64
L
36
36
Martin Damm
W
76
75
L
67
67
Raphael Collignon
L
57
63
36
L
67
64
67
Carlos Alcaraz
L
57
26
16
L
26
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur
LWWLWLWW
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

36
46

Aug 19

W

Arthur Fery

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
763

Aug 17

W

Quentin Halys

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

16
63
764

Aug 15

L

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

75
657
16

Aug 6

W

James Duckworth

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

62
766

Aug 5

L

Brandon Nakashima

Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

657
46

Jul 31

W

Cruz Hewitt

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

62
63

Jul 30

W

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
63

Jul 29

Dimitrov
LLWLWWWL
L

Sebastian Baez

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

61
36
46

Aug 14

L

Nuno Borges

Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round

46
26

Jul 15

W

Dalibor Svrcina

Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round

765
16
64

Jul 14

L

Arthur Fery

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

57
63
64
46
677

Jul 6

W

Matteo Berrettini

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

63
64
36
57
63

Jul 4

W

Jakub Mensik

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

765
46
75
63

Jul 2

W

Dane Sweeny

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

764
63
75

Jun 30

L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals

36
36

Jun 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

MinaurMinaur aheadDimitrov

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–74 matches

MetricMinaurDimitrov
Matches won64%41%
Sets won62%45%
Games won54%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMinaurDimitrov
Grand Slam01
ATP Masters 100010
ATP World Tour 50011
ATP World Tour Masters 100010
ATP World Tour 25010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMinaurDimitrov
Hard32
Clay10

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Alex de Minaur vs Grigor Dimitrov FAQ

Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 4–2 over 6 meetings.