Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo have met 3 times since 2023; Alex de Minaur leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at HSBC Championships (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Diallo
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Diallo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Gabriel Diallo | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.15 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -73.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -4.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Diallo's 22%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | L 46 63 57 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 76 36 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 16 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 26 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 64 36 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 61 62 64 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Alexander Zverev
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 16
Vitaliy Sachko
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 13
Joao Fonseca
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Alex Molcan
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 1
Ugo Humbert
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 36% |
| Sets won | 65% | 42% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
